Value bet: Peña Deportiva to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPeña Deportiva to win ✓39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Manacor vs Peña Deportiva preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 11 sees Manacor take on Peña Deportiva on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Manacor's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Peña Deportiva 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Peña Deportiva's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Manacor 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Peña Deportiva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Peña Deportiva 2–1 Manacor. Across their last 2 meetings Manacor have won 0, Peña Deportiva 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Manacor and 1.4 for Peña Deportiva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Peña Deportiva to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.90. Predicted score: Manacor 1–2 Peña Deportiva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manacor36%fair 2.74 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Peña Deportiva39%fair 2.56 · @3.10
2.81Expected goals
1.38Manacor xG
1.43Peña Deportiva xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Manacor 1.4 – 1.4 Peña Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Manacor vs Peña Deportiva?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Manacor vs Peña Deportiva?
On our numbers Manacor have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Peña Deportiva 39%.
How many goals will there be in Manacor vs Peña Deportiva?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manacor vs Peña Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Manacor 1–2 Peña Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Manacor vs Peña Deportiva?
Manacor vs Peña Deportiva (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
