Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBadajoz to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chanceBadajoz or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Badajoz vs Moralo preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 14 sees Badajoz take on Moralo on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Badajoz's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Moralo 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Moralo's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Badajoz 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Badajoz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Moralo 0–2 Badajoz. Across their last 2 meetings Badajoz have won 1, Moralo 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Badajoz and 0.6 for Moralo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 41%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Badajoz 66%, draw 24%, Moralo 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Badajoz to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Badajoz 1–0 Moralo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Badajoz66%fair 1.52 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20
Moralo11%fair 9.36 · @4.50
2.46Expected goals
1.84Badajoz xG
0.62Moralo xG
41%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Badajoz 1.8 – 0.6 Moralo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Badajoz to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Badajoz vs Moralo?
On our numbers Badajoz have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Moralo 11%.
How many goals will there be in Badajoz vs Moralo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badajoz vs Moralo?
Our predicted score is Badajoz 1–0 Moralo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Badajoz vs Moralo?
Badajoz vs Moralo (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
