Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly

Moralo

WDDWL
0–2
FT

Badajoz

WLWWW

Moralo vs Badajoz prediction & analysis

54%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBadajoz to win ✓42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.30

Moralo vs Badajoz preview and prediction

The match

Badajoz travel to face Moralo in the Tercera División RFEF Group 14 on Sunday 31 May (18:00 WAT).

Form guide

Moralo's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Azuaga 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Badajoz's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Jaraíz 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Badajoz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Badajoz 0–1 Moralo.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Moralo and 1.3 for Badajoz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Moralo 1–1 Badajoz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Moralo35%fair 2.84 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Badajoz42%fair 2.38 · @2.35
2.51Expected goals
1.19Moralo xG
1.33Badajoz xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Moralo 1.2 – 1.3 Badajoz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBadajoz to win ✓42%2.382.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Badajoz / FT Badajoz ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.30–

Form

Moralo – last 6

WDDWLW
17 May@ Azuaga1–0W
26 Aprvs Azuaga1–1D
12 Aprvs Calamonte1–1D
2 Apr@ Puebla Calzada2–0W
29 Marvs Jaraíz0–1L
22 Mar@ Montehermoso2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Badajoz – last 6

WLWWWW
24 Mayvs Jaraíz2–0W
17 May@ Jaraíz0–1L
3 May@ Calamonte3–0W
5 Apr@ Villanovense2–1W
29 Marvs Cabeza Buey2–1W
22 Mar@ Llerenense3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Badajoz v Moralo0–1
Moralo vs Badajoz head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 14 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Azuaga10721+1223
2Llerenense10640+822
3Moralo10631+621
4Castuera10622+1220
5Villanovense10532+918
6Puebla Calzada10523+517
7CD Zafra10343+413
8Cabeza Buey10343+113
9Quintana10343+113
10Villafranca10415013
11Jaraíz10334+212
12Santa Amalia10262+212
13Gévora10334-212
14Jerez10334-412
15Plasencia10154-78
16Montijo10226-88
17Atlético Pueblonuevo10046-154
18Guadiana10019-261

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moralo vs Badajoz?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Moralo vs Badajoz?

On our numbers Moralo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Badajoz 42%.

How many goals will there be in Moralo vs Badajoz?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moralo vs Badajoz?

Our predicted score is Moralo 1–1 Badajoz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Moralo vs Badajoz?

Moralo vs Badajoz (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.