Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✗50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.98
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
Machida Zelvia host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 07:00 (WAT) at Machida Stadium. Machida Zelvia are 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Urawa 1–0 at home. At home they have won 5 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Machida Zelvia and 1.2 for Nagoya Grampus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Machida Zelvia 50%, draw 22%, Nagoya Grampus 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia50%fair 1.99 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Nagoya Grampus28%fair 3.59 · @3.60
2.80Expected goals
1.65Machida Zelvia xG
1.15Nagoya Grampus xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.6 – 1.2 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.98
–
Form
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WWWWWW
22 May
vs Urawa
1–0
W
10 May
@ JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
6 May
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2–0
W
21 Apr
vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Al-Ittihad FC
1–0
W
11 Apr
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
LLWWWW
23 May
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–4
L
17 May
@ Cerezo Osaka
1–6
L
10 May
vs Kyoto Sanga
3–0
W
6 May
vs Gamba Osaka
2–1
W
3 May
@ V-varen Nagasaki
2–1
W
25 Apr
@ Shimizu S-pulse
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nagoya Grampus 28%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka2
Vissel Kobe0
Cerezo Osaka3
V-varen Nagasaki1
Fagiano Okayama2
Gamba Osaka4
Shimizu S-pulse0
Kyoto Sanga1