Value bet: Kashima to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVissel Kobe to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.67
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima preview and prediction
The match
Kashima travel to Noevir Stadium Kobe in the J1 League on Saturday 30 May (06:00 WAT) to face Vissel Kobe. Vissel Kobe are 1st with 35 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Kashima sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Vissel Kobe's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Kashima's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat FC Tokyo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Vissel Kobe and 1.2 for Kashima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vissel Kobe 1–1 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vissel Kobe39%fair 2.58 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Kashima37%fair 2.71 · @3.20
2.51Expected goals
1.28Vissel Kobe xG
1.24Kashima xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.3 – 1.2 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vissel Kobe to win✓
39%
2.58
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe✓
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.67
–
Form
Vissel Kobe – last 6
WWLLLW
23 May
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
13 May
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
10 May
vs Fagiano Okayama
0–3
L
2 May
@ Gamba Osaka
0–5
L
20 Apr
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Fagiano Okayama
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 6
WWWLWW
23 May
vs FC Tokyo
1–0
W
17 May
@ JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
6 May
vs Mito Hollyhock
3–0
W
29 Apr
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Urawa
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vissel Kobe and Kashima.
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Kashima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Kashima?
On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kashima 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vissel Kobe vs Kashima?
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium Kobe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
