Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Zawra'a to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Zawra'a or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62
Al Zawra'a vs Naft preview and prediction
The match
Naft travel to face Al Zawra'a in the Iraqi League on Wednesday 27 May (18:30 WAT). Al Zawra'a are 6th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Naft sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Al Zawra'a's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Naft's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Duhok 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Zawra'a arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Al Zawra'a and 0.6 for Naft. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 39%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Zawra'a 65%, draw 22%, Naft 14%.
Safer route: Al Zawra'a or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Zawra'a to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Zawra'a 1–0 Naft. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Zawra'a65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Naft14%fair 7.39 · @4.00
2.23Expected goals
1.66Al Zawra'a xG
0.57Naft xG
39%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al Zawra'a 1.7 – 0.6 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Zawra'a to win✗
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Al Zawra'a or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Zawra'a / FT Al Zawra'a✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.62
–
Form
Al Zawra'a – last 6
LDWDWW
20 May
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
14 May
vs Al-Qasim
1–1
D
5 May
@ Al Talaba
1–0
W
1 May
vs Duhok
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Diyala
2–0
W
13 Apr
@ Al Shorta
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naft – last 6
DDDDLW
19 May
vs Duhok
1–1
D
14 May
vs Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
5 May
vs Al-Karma
0–0
D
22 Apr
@ Mosul
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Erbil
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs Gharraf
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Zawra'a and Naft.
Our pick is Al Zawra'a to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Al Zawra'a vs Naft?
On our numbers Al Zawra'a have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Naft 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al Zawra'a vs Naft?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Zawra'a vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al Zawra'a 1–0 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Zawra'a vs Naft?
Al Zawra'a vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
