Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Marília to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarília to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Grêmio Prudente vs Marília preview and prediction
The match
Grêmio Prudente host Marília in the Copa Paulista on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Paulo Constantino.
Form guide
Grêmio Prudente's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Bandeirante SP 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Marília's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Linense 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 July 2026, finished Marília 1–0 Grêmio Prudente.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Grêmio Prudente and 1.2 for Marília. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Marília to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Grêmio Prudente 1–1 Marília. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grêmio Prudente36%fair 2.74 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Marília41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.24Expected goals
1.08Grêmio Prudente xG
1.16Marília xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Grêmio Prudente 1.1 – 1.2 Marília expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
On our numbers Grêmio Prudente have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marília 41%.
How many goals will there be in Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
Our predicted score is Grêmio Prudente 1–1 Marília, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?
Grêmio Prudente vs Marília (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Paulo Constantino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus5
Oeste0
Linense2
Bandeirante SP0
Noroeste4
Comercial3
XV de Piracicaba1
União São João1
Santo André1
EC São Bernardo0