Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Uruguay Montevideo to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia preview and prediction
The match
Uruguay Montevideo host Plaza Colonia in the Segunda División on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Uruguay Montevideo are 14th with 22 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Plaza Colonia sit 4th on 38 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to La Luz 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Uruguay Montevideo and 1.2 for Plaza Colonia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Uruguay Montevideo 31%, draw 23%, Plaza Colonia 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Uruguay Montevideo to win at 3.55 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Uruguay Montevideo 0–1 Plaza Colonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uruguay Montevideo31%fair 3.25 · @3.55
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Plaza Colonia46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.12Expected goals
0.91Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.21Plaza Colonia xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 0.9 – 1.2 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✗
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.89
–
Form
Uruguay Montevideo – last 6
LLLWDD
24 May
@ La Luz
0–2
L
9 May
@ Atenas
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Cerrito
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ Atenas
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sportivo Huracan
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Fenix
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Plaza Colonia – last 2
WD
22 May
vs Oriental
3–1
W
17 Apr
vs Paysandu
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uruguay Montevideo and Plaza Colonia.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Plaza Colonia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 0–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?
Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
