Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Kenya vs Eritrea preview and prediction
The match
Kenya host Eritrea in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Form guide
Kenya's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Lesotho 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Kenya and 0.7 for Eritrea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kenya 67%, draw 17%, Eritrea 16%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Kenya 1–0 Eritrea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kenya67%fair 1.50 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @5.75
Eritrea16%fair 6.28 · @8.50
2.53Expected goals
1.83Kenya xG
0.70Eritrea xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kenya 1.8 – 0.7 Eritrea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kenya to win✗
67%
1.50
1.27
Double chance
Kenya or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Kenya ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kenya / FT Kenya✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
Kenya – last 3
WDW
7 Jun
vs Lesotho
4–0
W
4 Jun
@ Lesotho
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Grenada
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Eritrea – last 2
WW
31 Mar
@ Eswatini
2–1
W
25 Mar
vs Eswatini
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kenya and Eritrea.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kenya vs Eritrea?
On our numbers Kenya have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Eritrea 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kenya vs Eritrea?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kenya vs Eritrea?
Our predicted score is Kenya 1–0 Eritrea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kenya vs Eritrea?
Kenya vs Eritrea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Africa2
Guinea1