Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColón to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Tacuarembo vs Colón preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Tacuarembo take on Colón on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Tacuarembo are 13th with 26 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Colón sit 3rd on 39 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tacuarembo's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Fenix 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Tacuarembo and 1.1 for Colón. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tacuarembo 36%, draw 26%, Colón 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Tacuarembo 1–1 Colón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacuarembo36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Colón38%fair 2.62 · @2.90
2.07Expected goals
1.01Tacuarembo xG
1.06Colón xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.0 – 1.1 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colón to win✗
38%
2.62
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.50
–
Form
Tacuarembo – last 5
WLLLD
17 May
@ Fenix
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Atenas
0–1
L
13 Apr
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Fenix
2–3
L
17 Mar
vs La Luz
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Colón – last 2
DW
23 Mar
@ Oriental
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Paysandu
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and Colón.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Colón?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Colón 38%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Colón?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Colón?
Tacuarembo vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
