Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWuhan Three Towns to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceWuhan Three Towns or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.79
Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Qingdao Red Lions take on Wuhan Three Towns on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 08:30 (WAT) at Qingdao Tiantai Stadium.
Form guide
Qingdao Red Lions's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Shanghai Port II 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Wuhan Three Towns's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Yunnan Yukun 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.5 for Qingdao Red Lions and 1.5 for Wuhan Three Towns. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qingdao Red Lions 15%, draw 20%, Wuhan Three Towns 65%.
Safer route: Wuhan Three Towns or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 57% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.31, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Qingdao Red Lions 0–1 Wuhan Three Towns. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Red Lions15%fair 6.54 · @4.40
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.65
Wuhan Three Towns65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
1.95Expected goals
0.48Qingdao Red Lions xG
1.46Wuhan Three Towns xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–121%
0–215%
0–014%
1–110%
0–37%
1–27%
From our goals model: Qingdao Red Lions 0.5 – 1.5 Wuhan Three Towns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wuhan Three Towns to win✗
65%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Wuhan Three Towns or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.42 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wuhan Three Towns / FT Wuhan Three Towns✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.79
–
Form
Qingdao Red Lions – last 6
WDWLLD
14 Jun
vs Shanghai Port II
2–1
W
7 Jun
@ Changchun Xidu
1–1
D
27 May
@ Xi'an Ronghai
3–2
W
23 May
vs Nantong Haimen Codion
0–1
L
10 May
@ Rizhao Yuqi
0–1
L
4 May
@ BIT
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Wuhan Three Towns – last 6
DDDDLW
31 May
vs Yunnan Yukun
1–1
D
24 May
@ Shandong Luneng
3–3
D
20 May
@ Shanghai Shenhua
2–2
D
10 May
@ Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
6 May
vs Qingdao Jonoon
1–3
L
21 Apr
vs Hangzhou Greentown
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Red Lions and Wuhan Three Towns.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns?
On our numbers Qingdao Red Lions have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wuhan Three Towns 65%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Red Lions 0–1 Wuhan Three Towns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Tiantai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ningbo Professional0
Chongqing Tongliang Long2
Wuxi Wugou2
Qingdao Jonoon2
Guangxi Hengchen0
Shandong Luneng5
Shanghai Zetian0
Chengdu Better City4
Hebei Kungfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2