Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Luneng prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Shandong Luneng or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Shandong Luneng to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceShandong Luneng or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Luneng preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Guangxi Hengchen take on Shandong Luneng on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Guangxi Sports Center.
Form guide
Guangxi Hengchen's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Shenzhen Juniors 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shandong Luneng's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Chengdu Better City 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Guangxi Hengchen and 2.3 for Shandong Luneng. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Shandong Luneng or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Shandong Luneng to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shandong Luneng or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Guangxi Hengchen 1–2 Shandong Luneng. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guangxi Hengchen16%fair 6.34 · @3.85
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Shandong Luneng63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
3.35Expected goals
1.08Guangxi Hengchen xG
2.27Shandong Luneng xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Guangxi Hengchen 1.1 – 2.3 Shandong Luneng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Shandong Luneng or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.33
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Guangxi Hengchen – last 6
DDDWDW
14 Jun
@ Shenzhen Juniors
1–1
D
30 May
vs Dongguan United
3–3
D
23 May
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
17 May
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
4–0
W
10 May
@ Yanbian Longding
1–1
D
2 May
@ Hebei Kungfu
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shandong Luneng – last 6
LDLWWD
30 May
@ Chengdu Better City
0–1
L
24 May
vs Wuhan Three Towns
3–3
D
20 May
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–4
L
10 May
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
2–1
W
5 May
vs Shanghai Shenhua
4–1
W
1 May
vs Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guangxi Hengchen and Shandong Luneng.
What is the prediction for Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Luneng?
Our pick is Shandong Luneng or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Luneng?
On our numbers Guangxi Hengchen have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shandong Luneng 63%.
How many goals will there be in Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Luneng?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Luneng?
Our predicted score is Guangxi Hengchen 1–2 Shandong Luneng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Luneng?
Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Luneng (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Guangxi Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Qingdao Red Lions0
Wuhan Three Towns0
Ningbo Professional0
Chongqing Tongliang Long2
Wuxi Wugou2
Qingdao Jonoon2
Shanghai Zetian0
Chengdu Better City4
Hebei Kungfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2