Value bet: Real Jaén to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Baleares to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.17
Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén preview and prediction
The match
Real Jaén travel to Estadio Balear in the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs on Sunday 31 May (18:00 WAT) to face Atlético Baleares.
Form guide
Atlético Baleares's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Real Jaén 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Real Jaén's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Atlético Baleares 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Real Jaén 2–1 Atlético Baleares.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Atlético Baleares and 1.2 for Real Jaén. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Baleares 41%, draw 26%, Real Jaén 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Real Jaén to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético Baleares 1–1 Real Jaén. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Baleares41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Real Jaén33%fair 2.99 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.33Atlético Baleares xG
1.17Real Jaén xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atlético Baleares 1.3 – 1.2 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?
On our numbers Atlético Baleares have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Jaén 33%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?
Our predicted score is Atlético Baleares 1–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén?
Atlético Baleares vs Real Jaén (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Balear.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Poblense0
Águilas0
Real Oviedo II0
CD Coria1
Conquense0
UD Ourense2