Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Heerenveen to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUtrecht to win ✓47% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.02
Utrecht vs Heerenveen preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees Utrecht take on Heerenveen on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadion Galgenwaard. Utrecht are 14th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Heerenveen sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Utrecht's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Fortuna Sittard 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Heerenveen's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Ajax 0–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Utrecht and 1.7 for Heerenveen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: Heerenveen to win at 3.70 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Utrecht 1–1 Heerenveen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Utrecht47%fair 2.11 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.65
Heerenveen30%fair 3.32 · @3.70
3.27Expected goals
1.52Utrecht xG
1.75Heerenveen xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: Utrecht 1.5 – 1.7 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utrecht to win✓
47%
2.11
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heerenveen / FT Heerenveen✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.02
–
Form
Utrecht – last 6
WLWWDW
17 May
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Excelsior
0–5
L
22 Mar
vs GO Ahead Eagles
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Twente
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Heracles
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Heerenveen – last 5
DWWDW
17 May
vs Ajax
0–0
D
3 May
@ FC Volendam
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Heracles
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs PEC Zwolle
4–2
W
2.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and Heerenveen.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Heerenveen 30%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 1–1 Heerenveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
Utrecht vs Heerenveen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
