Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Gualberto Villarroel SJ or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gualberto Villarroel SJ to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGualberto Villarroel SJ to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceGualberto Villarroel SJ or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto preview and prediction
The match
Universitario de Vinto travel to face Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Primera División on Monday 27 July (20:00 WAT). Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 15th with 20 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Universitario de Vinto sit 14th on 22 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gualberto Villarroel SJ's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with The Strongest 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Universitario de Vinto's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Always Ready 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 0.9 for Universitario de Vinto. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 65%, draw 23%, Universitario de Vinto 12%.
Safer route: Gualberto Villarroel SJ or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Gualberto Villarroel SJ to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gualberto Villarroel SJ or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2–0 Universitario de Vinto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gualberto Villarroel SJ65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.70
Universitario de Vinto12%fair 8.14 · @4.00
3.10Expected goals
2.20Gualberto Villarroel SJ xG
0.90Universitario de Vinto xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2.2 – 0.9 Universitario de Vinto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gualberto Villarroel SJ to win✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Gualberto Villarroel SJ or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Gualberto Villarroel SJ ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gualberto Villarroel SJ / FT Gualberto Villarroel SJ✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.21
–
Form
Gualberto Villarroel SJ – last 6
DDLWDL
19 Jul
vs The Strongest
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ Blooming
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Real Oruro
1–3
L
8 Jul
vs Real Tomayapo
3–2
W
21 Apr
vs Aurora
1–1
D
13 Apr
@ Oriente Petrolero
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Universitario de Vinto – last 6
LLLWDL
18 Jul
@ Always Ready
0–4
L
8 Jul
@ Real Oruro
1–4
L
2 Jun
vs Aurora
1–2
L
12 May
@ San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2–0
W
5 May
vs Blooming
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Independiente Petrolero
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Universitario de Vinto.
What is the prediction for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto?
Our pick is Gualberto Villarroel SJ or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto?
On our numbers Gualberto Villarroel SJ have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universitario de Vinto 12%.
How many goals will there be in Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto?
Our predicted score is Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2–0 Universitario de Vinto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto?
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Universitario de Vinto (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.