Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCovadonga to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceCovadonga or draw ✓84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Covadonga vs Mosconia preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 2 sees Covadonga take on Mosconia on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Covadonga are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Mosconia sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Covadonga's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Mosconia 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mosconia's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Covadonga 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Covadonga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Mosconia 0–0 Covadonga. Across their last 2 meetings Covadonga have won 1, Mosconia 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Covadonga and 0.7 for Mosconia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 42%.
Our pre-match pick was Covadonga to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Covadonga 1–0 Mosconia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Covadonga64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.30
Mosconia16%fair 6.26 · @5.10
2.55Expected goals
1.81Covadonga xG
0.74Mosconia xG
42%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Covadonga 1.8 – 0.7 Mosconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Covadonga to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Covadonga vs Mosconia?
On our numbers Covadonga have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mosconia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Covadonga vs Mosconia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Covadonga vs Mosconia?
Our predicted score is Covadonga 1–0 Mosconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Covadonga vs Mosconia?
Covadonga vs Mosconia (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
