Value bet: Caudal to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Gijón II to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Gijón II host Caudal in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Sporting Gijón II are 2nd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Caudal sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sporting Gijón II's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Caudal 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Caudal's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Sporting Gijón II 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Caudal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Caudal 0–0 Sporting Gijón II. Across their last 2 meetings Sporting Gijón II have won 1, Caudal 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Sporting Gijón II and 1.2 for Caudal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Gijón II 45%, draw 22%, Caudal 32%.
Value angle: Caudal to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Sporting Gijón II 1–1 Caudal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Gijón II45%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Caudal32%fair 3.10 · @3.40
2.74Expected goals
1.52Sporting Gijón II xG
1.23Caudal xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijón II 1.5 – 1.2 Caudal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?
On our numbers Sporting Gijón II have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Caudal 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijón II 1–1 Caudal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?
Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
