Value bet: Oyonesa to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVarea to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.69
Varea vs Oyonesa preview and prediction
The match
Varea host Oyonesa in the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Varea are 5th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Oyonesa sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Varea's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Oyonesa 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oyonesa's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Varea 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Oyonesa 0–0 Varea.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Varea and 1.1 for Oyonesa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Varea 44%, draw 23%, Oyonesa 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Oyonesa to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Varea 1–1 Oyonesa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varea44%fair 2.30 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Oyonesa34%fair 2.95 · @3.30
2.44Expected goals
1.32Varea xG
1.12Oyonesa xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Varea 1.3 – 1.1 Oyonesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Varea vs Oyonesa?
On our numbers Varea have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oyonesa 34%.
How many goals will there be in Varea vs Oyonesa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varea vs Oyonesa?
Our predicted score is Varea 1–1 Oyonesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Varea vs Oyonesa?
Varea vs Oyonesa (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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