Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Racing Montevideo to win @ 2.52 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✗42% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.45
Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Racing Montevideo travel to Estadio Belvedere in the Primera División Apertura on Friday 22 May (23:30 WAT) to face Liverpool Montevideo. Liverpool Montevideo are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Racing Montevideo sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Wanderers 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Racing Montevideo's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Cerro Largo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Racing Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Liverpool Montevideo and 1.3 for Racing Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool Montevideo 34%, draw 23%, Racing Montevideo 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Racing Montevideo to win at 2.52 – 42% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Racing Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool Montevideo34%fair 2.92 · @2.78
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Racing Montevideo42%fair 2.36 · @2.52
2.37Expected goals
1.10Liverpool Montevideo xG
1.27Racing Montevideo xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.1 – 1.3 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win✗
42%
2.36
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.45
–
Form
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
LLWDDD
8 May
@ Wanderers
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Club Nacional
1–3
L
14 Apr
@ Penarol
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Progreso
3–3
D
24 Mar
vs Central Espanol
3–3
D
17 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Racing Montevideo – last 6
WWDWLW
17 May
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Penarol
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Progreso
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Cerro
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Boston River
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Albion FC
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool Montevideo and Racing Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Racing Montevideo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
