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Today's tips
Serie C Promotion Play Offs · Italy · Stadio Angelo Massimino

Catania

DLLDW
3–3
FT

Lecco

DDWWW

Catania vs Lecco prediction & analysis

83%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Catania to win @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCatania to win ✗66% · @1.65
Double chanceCatania or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.47

Catania vs Lecco preview and prediction

The match

Lecco travel to Stadio Angelo Massimino in the Serie C Promotion Play Offs on Wednesday 20 May (19:30 WAT) to face Catania.

Form guide

Catania's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Lecco 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Lecco's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Catania 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Lecco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Lecco 0–0 Catania.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Catania and 0.4 for Lecco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Catania 1–0 Lecco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Catania66%fair 1.51 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.20
Lecco13%fair 7.58 · @5.40
1.87Expected goals
1.46Catania xG
0.42Lecco xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Catania 1.5 – 0.4 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCatania to win ✗66%1.511.65 ▲
Double chanceCatania or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.791.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.641.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.211.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Catania / FT Catania ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.47–

Form

Catania – last 6

DLLDWD
17 May@ Lecco0–0D
13 Apr@ Crotone0–2L
6 Aprvs AZ Picerno1–2L
23 Marvs Casarano1–1D
15 Mar@ Team Altamura2–1W
9 Marvs Casertana0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lecco – last 6

DDWWWL
17 Mayvs Catania0–0D
13 Mayvs Pianese1–1D
6 Mayvs Giana Erminio2–1W
10 Apr@ Alcione2–0W
3 Aprvs Vicenza Virtus2–0W
29 Mar@ Cittadella1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Lecco v Catania0–0
Catania vs Lecco head-to-head page →

More Serie C Promotion Play Offs predictions

FT Ascoli1 Potenza0 162%1.50X25%3.65213%6.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.33 ✓
FT Union Brescia0 Casarano0 165%1.83X24%3.20211%4.20 1Union Brescia to win 65%@1.83 ✗
FT Ravenna0 Salernitana2 136%2.30X24%3.10240%2.88 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Catania vs Lecco?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Catania vs Lecco?

On our numbers Catania have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lecco 13%.

How many goals will there be in Catania vs Lecco?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Catania vs Lecco?

Our predicted score is Catania 1–0 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Catania vs Lecco?

Catania vs Lecco (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.