Ascoli host Potenza in the Serie C Promotion Play Offs on Wednesday 20 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Form guide
Ascoli's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Potenza 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Potenza's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Ascoli 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ascoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Potenza 0–0 Ascoli.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Ascoli and 0.6 for Potenza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ascoli 62%, draw 25%, Potenza 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ascoli 1–0 Potenza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ascoli62%fair 1.63 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.65
Potenza13%fair 7.42 · @6.40
2.23Expected goals
1.62Ascoli xG
0.61Potenza xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.6 – 0.6 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ascoli vs Potenza?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Potenza 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Potenza?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Potenza?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–0 Potenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Potenza?
Ascoli vs Potenza (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.