Thursday, 12 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Serie C Promotion Play Offs · Italy · Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli

DLWWW
1–0
FT

Potenza

DWLLL

Ascoli vs Potenza prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAscoli to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceAscoli or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63

Ascoli vs Potenza preview and prediction

The match

Ascoli host Potenza in the Serie C Promotion Play Offs on Wednesday 20 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.

Form guide

Ascoli's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Potenza 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Potenza's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Ascoli 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Ascoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Potenza 0–0 Ascoli.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Ascoli and 0.6 for Potenza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ascoli 1–0 Potenza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ascoli62%fair 1.63 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.65
Potenza13%fair 7.42 · @6.40
2.23Expected goals
1.62Ascoli xG
0.61Potenza xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Ascoli 1.6 – 0.6 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAscoli to win ✓62%1.631.50
Double chanceAscoli or draw ✓87%1.161.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ascoli / FT Ascoli ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.63–

Form

Ascoli – last 6

DLWWWW
17 May@ Potenza0–0D
26 Apr@ Campobasso FC0–1L
30 Mar@ Arezzo2–1W
15 Mar@ Gubbio3–1W
9 Marvs Ravenna2–0W
4 Mar@ Sambenedettese1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Potenza – last 6

DWLLLW
17 Mayvs Ascoli0–0D
13 Mayvs Campobasso FC3–1W
6 Apr@ Casarano1–2L
1 Apr@ Latina0–1L
22 Mar@ Trapani 19051–2L
18 Marvs Latina3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Potenza v Ascoli0–0
Ascoli vs Potenza head-to-head page →

More Serie C Promotion Play Offs predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ascoli vs Potenza?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Ascoli vs Potenza?

On our numbers Ascoli have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Potenza 13%.

How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Potenza?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Potenza?

Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–0 Potenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ascoli vs Potenza?

Ascoli vs Potenza (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.