Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Morocco W to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMorocco W to win ✗50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
New Zealand W vs Morocco W preview and prediction
The match
Morocco W travel to face New Zealand W in the Friendlies Women on Tuesday 9 June (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
New Zealand W's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Haiti W 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.2 for New Zealand W and 1.8 for Morocco W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Zealand W 28%, draw 22%, Morocco W 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Morocco W to win at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: New Zealand W 1–1 Morocco W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Zealand W28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Morocco W50%fair 2.01 · @2.15
3.00Expected goals
1.25New Zealand W xG
1.75Morocco W xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: New Zealand W 1.2 – 1.8 Morocco W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morocco W to win✗
50%
2.01
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morocco W / FT Morocco W✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
New Zealand W – last 5
LWWWW
5 Jun
vs Haiti W
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Papua New Guinea W
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ American Samoa W
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs Solomon Islands W
8–0
W
27 Feb
vs Samoa W
8–0
W
4.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Morocco W – last 2
DW
17 Apr
vs Mali W
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Tanzania W
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Zealand W and Morocco W.
What is the prediction for New Zealand W vs Morocco W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win New Zealand W vs Morocco W?
On our numbers New Zealand W have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Morocco W 50%.
How many goals will there be in New Zealand W vs Morocco W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand W vs Morocco W?
Our predicted score is New Zealand W 1–1 Morocco W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is New Zealand W vs Morocco W?
New Zealand W vs Morocco W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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