Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Australia W to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustralia W to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceAustralia W or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Australia W vs Mexico W preview and prediction
The match
Australia W host Mexico W in the Friendlies Women on Tuesday 9 June, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Australia W's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Mexico W 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mexico W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Australia W 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 4.8 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mexico W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Australia W 0–1 Mexico W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Australia W and 0.7 for Mexico W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Australia W 60%, draw 24%, Mexico W 16%.
Safer route: Australia W or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Australia W to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Australia W or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Australia W 1–0 Mexico W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Australia W60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.35
Mexico W16%fair 6.25 · @3.50
2.37Expected goals
1.66Australia W xG
0.72Mexico W xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Australia W 1.7 – 0.7 Mexico W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Australia W vs Mexico W?
Our pick is Australia W or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Australia W vs Mexico W?
On our numbers Australia W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mexico W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Australia W vs Mexico W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Australia W vs Mexico W?
Our predicted score is Australia W 1–0 Mexico W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Australia W vs Mexico W?
Australia W vs Mexico W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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