Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.38Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 58% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +85%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗58% · @3.20
Double chanceNew Zealand or draw ✗81% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗14% · fair 7.40
Haiti vs New Zealand preview and prediction
The match
New Zealand travel to Chase Stadium in the Friendlies on Wednesday 3 June (01:00 WAT) to face Haiti.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Haiti and 1.0 for New Zealand. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haiti 19%, draw 58%, New Zealand 23%.
Safer route: New Zealand or draw (81%) at 1.38.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 58% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New Zealand or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.38, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Haiti 0–1 New Zealand. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haiti19%fair 5.21 · @2.92
Draw58%fair 1.73 · @3.20
New Zealand23%fair 4.33 · @2.40
2.01Expected goals
0.97Haiti xG
1.04New Zealand xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Haiti 1.0 – 1.0 New Zealand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
58%
1.73
3.20 ▲
Double chance
New Zealand or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.38 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
14%
7.40
–
Form
Haiti – last 2
DL
31 Mar
vs Iceland
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Tunisia
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
New Zealand – last 2
WL
30 Mar
vs Chile
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Finland
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and New Zealand.
Our pick is New Zealand or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Haiti vs New Zealand?
On our numbers Haiti have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 58% and New Zealand 23%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs New Zealand?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs New Zealand?
Our predicted score is Haiti 0–1 New Zealand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Haiti vs New Zealand?
Haiti vs New Zealand (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 3 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Chase Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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