Netherlands vs Algeria prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Netherlands 2.1 – 0.8 Algeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Netherlands are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 13% for Algeria.
Netherlands have taken 4 points from their last 2 matches (1W 1D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Algeria have 4 points from their last 2 (1W 1D 0L), averaging 3.5 scored and 0.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for Netherlands, 0.8 for Algeria). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.95 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Netherlands to win ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.37 |
| Double chance | Netherlands or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.42 |
| Half-time result | Netherlands ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Netherlands / FT Netherlands ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.47 | – |
Form
Netherlands – last 2
| 31 Mar | vs Ecuador | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Mar | vs Norway | 2–1 | W |
Algeria – last 2
| 31 Mar | vs Uruguay | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | vs Guatemala | 7–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Netherlands and Algeria.
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Northern Ireland U210Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Algeria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Netherlands vs Algeria?
On our numbers Netherlands have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Algeria 13%.
How many goals will there be in Netherlands vs Algeria?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Netherlands vs Algeria?
Netherlands vs Algeria (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 3 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at De Kuip.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.