Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Vigasio to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVigasio to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceVigasio or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Vigasio vs FC Obermais preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone C sees Vigasio take on FC Obermais on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Vigasio's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Legnago Salus 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
FC Obermais's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat San Luigi 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
FC Obermais arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Vigasio and 0.9 for FC Obermais. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vigasio 56%, draw 23%, FC Obermais 21%.
Safer route: Vigasio or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Vigasio to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vigasio or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vigasio 1–0 FC Obermais. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vigasio56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.25
FC Obermais21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
2.51Expected goals
1.63Vigasio xG
0.88FC Obermais xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vigasio 1.6 – 0.9 FC Obermais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vigasio to win✗
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Vigasio or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vigasio / FT Vigasio✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.57
–
Form
Vigasio – last 6
LLLWLD
3 May
vs Legnago Salus
1–4
L
26 Apr
@ Luparense
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Brian Lignano
1–3
L
2 Apr
vs Campodarsego
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Calvi Noale
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Adriese
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Obermais – last 6
WDDDDW
10 May
@ San Luigi
3–1
W
3 May
@ San Luigi
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Conegliano
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Altavilla
0–0
D
2 Apr
vs Luparense
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Treviso
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigasio and FC Obermais.
What is the prediction for Vigasio vs FC Obermais?
Our pick is Vigasio or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vigasio vs FC Obermais?
On our numbers Vigasio have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Obermais 21%.
How many goals will there be in Vigasio vs FC Obermais?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigasio vs FC Obermais?
Our predicted score is Vigasio 1–0 FC Obermais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vigasio vs FC Obermais?
Vigasio vs FC Obermais (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
