Value bet: Legnago Salus to win @ 1.82 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLegnago Salus to win ✓61% · @1.82
Double chanceLegnago Salus or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.48
Legnago Salus vs Este preview and prediction
The match
Legnago Salus host Este in the Serie D Girone C on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Mario Sandrini. Legnago Salus are 7th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Este sit 8th on 16 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Legnago Salus's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Vigasio 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Este's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Luparense 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Legnago Salus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Legnago Salus and 0.8 for Este. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Legnago Salus 61%, draw 20%, Este 19%.
Safer route: Legnago Salus or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Value angle: Legnago Salus to win at 1.82 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Legnago Salus 1–0 Este. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Legnago Salus61%fair 1.65 · @1.82
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.25
Este19%fair 5.28 · @3.75
2.57Expected goals
1.74Legnago Salus xG
0.82Este xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Legnago Salus 1.7 – 0.8 Este expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legnago Salus to win✓
61%
1.65
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Legnago Salus or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.27
Half-time result
Legnago Salus ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legnago Salus / FT Legnago Salus✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.48
–
Form
Legnago Salus – last 6
WWDDWW
3 May
@ Vigasio
4–1
W
26 Apr
vs Portogruaro
5–0
W
19 Apr
@ Mestre
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ San Luigi
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Conegliano
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Altavilla
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Este – last 6
WWDLLL
3 May
vs Luparense
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Treviso
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Clodiense
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Calvi Noale
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Brian Lignano
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Bassano Virtus
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legnago Salus and Este.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Legnago Salus vs Este?
On our numbers Legnago Salus have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Este 19%.
How many goals will there be in Legnago Salus vs Este?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legnago Salus vs Este?
Our predicted score is Legnago Salus 1–0 Este, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Legnago Salus vs Este?
Legnago Salus vs Este (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mario Sandrini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vigasio2