Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC preview and prediction
The match
Sport Recife host Fortaleza EC in the Copa Do Nordeste on Thursday 28 May, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Form guide
Sport Recife's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Juventude 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fortaleza EC's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Sport Recife 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Fortaleza EC 1–2 Sport Recife. Across their last 2 meetings Sport Recife have won 1, Fortaleza EC 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Sport Recife and 1.1 for Fortaleza EC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Recife 44%, draw 22%, Fortaleza EC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sport Recife 1–1 Fortaleza EC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Recife44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Fortaleza EC34%fair 2.94 · @2.95
2.50Expected goals
1.36Sport Recife xG
1.14Fortaleza EC xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.4 – 1.1 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fortaleza EC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
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