Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitoria to win ✓45% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
ABC vs Vitoria preview and prediction
The match
ABC host Vitoria in the Copa Do Nordeste on Thursday 28 May, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT).
Form guide
ABC's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with America-RN 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Vitoria's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat ABC 6–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Vitoria 6–2 ABC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for ABC and 1.8 for Vitoria. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ABC 33%, draw 22%, Vitoria 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.30, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ABC 1–1 Vitoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ABC33%fair 3.06 · @2.85
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Vitoria45%fair 2.21 · @2.33
3.31Expected goals
1.51ABC xG
1.81Vitoria xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: ABC 1.5 – 1.8 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win ABC vs Vitoria?
On our numbers ABC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vitoria 45%.
How many goals will there be in ABC vs Vitoria?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ABC vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is ABC 1–1 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is ABC vs Vitoria?
ABC vs Vitoria (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
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