Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitoria to win ✓53% · @1.53
Double chanceVitoria or draw ✓79% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Vitoria vs ABC preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Nordeste sees Vitoria take on ABC on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Barradao.
Form guide
Vitoria's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ABC's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Juazeirense 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
ABC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Vitoria and 1.3 for ABC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitoria 53%, draw 26%, ABC 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 56% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Vitoria 1–1 ABC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitoria53%fair 1.89 · @1.53
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.45
ABC21%fair 4.76 · @6.40
2.87Expected goals
1.54Vitoria xG
1.33ABC xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.5 – 1.3 ABC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitoria to win✓
53%
1.89
1.53
Double chance
Vitoria or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitoria / FT Vitoria✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Vitoria – last 6
LWWDLD
17 May
@ RB Bragantino
0–2
L
15 May
vs Flamengo
2–0
W
7 May
vs Ceara
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Confiança
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Corinthians
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
ABC – last 6
WWWWWL
6 May
vs Juazeirense
4–0
W
30 Apr
vs Ferroviario
4–1
W
22 Apr
@ America-RN
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Imperatriz
3–1
W
7 Apr
@ America-RN
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Sport Recife
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitoria and ABC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Vitoria vs ABC?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ABC 21%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs ABC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs ABC?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 ABC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs ABC?
Vitoria vs ABC (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Barradao
Fortaleza EC1
Sport Recife2