Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Fortaleza EC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗54% · @1.91
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife preview and prediction
The match
Fortaleza EC host Sport Recife in the Copa Do Nordeste on Thursday 21 May, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Form guide
Fortaleza EC's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Ceara 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sport Recife's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to CRB 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Fortaleza EC 2–0 Sport Recife.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Fortaleza EC and 1.0 for Sport Recife. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fortaleza EC 54%, draw 24%, Sport Recife 22%.
Safer route: Fortaleza EC or draw (78%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fortaleza EC or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–1 Sport Recife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza EC54%fair 1.86 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Sport Recife22%fair 4.62 · @3.55
2.53Expected goals
1.52Fortaleza EC xG
1.01Sport Recife xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.5 – 1.0 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Fortaleza EC or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sport Recife 22%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–1 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?
Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
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