Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Gramadense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Cruz RS to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.22
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense preview and prediction
The match
Gramadense travel to face Santa Cruz RS in the Copa Gaúcha on Wednesday 17 June (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Santa Cruz RS's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with Brasil Farroupilha 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gramadense's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Monsoon 1–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Gramadense 1–2 Santa Cruz RS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Santa Cruz RS and 1.1 for Gramadense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Cruz RS 43%, draw 24%, Gramadense 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Gramadense to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Santa Cruz RS 1–1 Gramadense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Cruz RS43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.95
Gramadense33%fair 3.02 · @3.20
2.35Expected goals
1.28Santa Cruz RS xG
1.07Gramadense xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz RS 1.3 – 1.1 Gramadense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
On our numbers Santa Cruz RS have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gramadense 33%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz RS 1–1 Gramadense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
Farroupilha1
Bagé2