Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.64 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBagé to win ✓65% · @1.64
Double chanceBagé or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.58
Farroupilha vs Bagé preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Gaúcha sees Farroupilha take on Bagé on Wednesday 17 June, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Farroupilha's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Brasil DE Pelotas 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Bagé's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Guarany de Bagé 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bagé arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Bagé 1–0 Farroupilha.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.4 for Farroupilha and 1.5 for Bagé. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Farroupilha 9%, draw 26%, Bagé 65%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bagé to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Farroupilha 0–1 Bagé. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farroupilha9%fair 10.95 · @5.75
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
Bagé65%fair 1.53 · @1.64
1.95Expected goals
0.41Farroupilha xG
1.54Bagé xG
45%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–122%
0–217%
0–014%
1–19%
0–39%
1–27%
From our goals model: Farroupilha 0.4 – 1.5 Bagé expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Bagé to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Farroupilha vs Bagé?
On our numbers Farroupilha have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bagé 65%.
How many goals will there be in Farroupilha vs Bagé?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farroupilha vs Bagé?
Our predicted score is Farroupilha 0–1 Bagé, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Farroupilha vs Bagé?
Farroupilha vs Bagé (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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