Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Gaúcha sees Brasil DE Pelotas take on Guarany de Bagé on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Guarany de Bagé's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Cianorte 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Brasil DE Pelotas and 1.1 for Guarany de Bagé. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brasil DE Pelotas 44%, draw 24%, Guarany de Bagé 33%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Brasil DE Pelotas 1–1 Guarany de Bagé. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brasil DE Pelotas44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.88
Guarany de Bagé33%fair 3.06 · @3.10
2.32Expected goals
1.27Brasil DE Pelotas xG
1.05Guarany de Bagé xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Brasil DE Pelotas 1.3 – 1.1 Guarany de Bagé expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brasil DE Pelotas to win✓
44%
2.29
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brasil DE Pelotas / FT Brasil DE Pelotas✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.02
–
Form
Brasil DE Pelotas – last 1
W
5 Apr
vs Azuriz
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Guarany de Bagé – last 5
LLWWW
5 Apr
@ Cianorte
1–3
L
11 Mar
@ Ponte Preta
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Caxias
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Inter Santa Maria
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Inter Santa Maria
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brasil DE Pelotas and Guarany de Bagé.
What is the prediction for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?
On our numbers Brasil DE Pelotas have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guarany de Bagé 33%.
How many goals will there be in Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?
Our predicted score is Brasil DE Pelotas 1–1 Guarany de Bagé, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?
Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
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