Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Union La Calera or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Union La Calera to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion La Calera to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceUnion La Calera or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Santiago Wanderers travel to face Union La Calera in the Copa Chile on Sunday 28 June (20:00 WAT).
Form guide
Union La Calera's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Universidad de Chile 3–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Santiago Wanderers's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Universidad de Chile 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Union La Calera and 1.1 for Santiago Wanderers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union La Calera 61%, draw 25%, Santiago Wanderers 14%.
Safer route: Union La Calera or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Union La Calera to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union La Calera or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union La Calera 2–1 Santiago Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union La Calera61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.30
Santiago Wanderers14%fair 7.20 · @3.60
3.30Expected goals
2.24Union La Calera xG
1.06Santiago Wanderers xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 2.2 – 1.1 Santiago Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union La Calera to win✓
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Union La Calera or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.30
Half-time result
Union La Calera ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union La Calera / FT Union La Calera✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Union La Calera – last 6
DLDWDL
25 Jun
vs Universidad de Chile
3–3
D
21 Jun
vs Union San Felipe
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Universidad de Chile
2–2
D
7 Jun
@ D. La Serena
2–0
W
30 May
@ Universidad de Concepcion
0–0
D
24 May
vs Palestino
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santiago Wanderers – last 6
LLDWWL
21 Jun
@ Universidad de Chile
1–4
L
6 Jun
@ Deportes Copiapo
0–1
L
30 May
vs Union Espanola
2–2
D
23 May
@ Rangers de Talca
2–0
W
10 May
vs Cobreloa
5–1
W
28 Apr
@ Deportes Iquique
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union La Calera and Santiago Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our pick is Union La Calera or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santiago Wanderers 14%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 2–1 Santiago Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?
Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers (Copa Chile) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
U. Catolica4
San Luis2
Cobresal0
Antofagasta1
D. La Serena2
Cobreloa1
Huachipato2
Deportes Temuco0
Curico Unido2
Universidad de Concepcion2
O'Higgins1
Recoleta1
Universidad de Chile2
Union San Felipe0