Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: D. La Serena to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultD. La Serena to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceD. La Serena or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
D. La Serena vs Cobreloa preview and prediction
The match
D. La Serena host Cobreloa in the Copa Chile on Sunday 28 June, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio La Portada.
Form guide
D. La Serena's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Cobresal 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Cobreloa's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Cobresal 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cobreloa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for D. La Serena and 0.7 for Cobreloa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. La Serena 61%, draw 24%, Cobreloa 15%.
Safer route: D. La Serena or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: D. La Serena to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was D. La Serena or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: D. La Serena 1–0 Cobreloa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. La Serena61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.35
Cobreloa15%fair 6.50 · @3.50
2.44Expected goals
1.71D. La Serena xG
0.73Cobreloa xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.7 – 0.7 Cobreloa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. La Serena to win✓
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
D. La Serena or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. La Serena / FT D. La Serena✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Form
D. La Serena – last 6
DLDLLW
24 Jun
vs Cobresal
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Antofagasta
2–4
L
13 Jun
@ A. Italiano
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Union La Calera
0–2
L
30 May
vs Colo Colo
2–4
L
24 May
vs Deportes Limache
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cobreloa – last 6
WDWDLD
20 Jun
vs Cobresal
2–0
W
6 Jun
@ D. Puerto Montt
1–1
D
31 May
vs Rangers de Talca
2–0
W
21 May
@ Recoleta
2–2
D
10 May
@ Santiago Wanderers
1–5
L
11 Apr
@ Union Espanola
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between D. La Serena and Cobreloa.
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Cobreloa?
Our pick is D. La Serena or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Cobreloa?
On our numbers D. La Serena have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cobreloa 15%.
How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Cobreloa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Cobreloa?
Our predicted score is D. La Serena 1–0 Cobreloa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is D. La Serena vs Cobreloa?
D. La Serena vs Cobreloa (Copa Chile) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
U. Catolica4
San Luis2
Cobresal0
Antofagasta1
Huachipato2
Deportes Temuco0
Union La Calera4
Santiago Wanderers0
Curico Unido2
Universidad de Concepcion2
O'Higgins1
Recoleta1
Universidad de Chile2
Union San Felipe0