Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Karma to win ✗61% · @1.50
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma preview and prediction
The match
Al-Karma travel to face Naft Maysan in the Iraqi League on Thursday 14 May (15:30 WAT). Naft Maysan are 19th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Al-Karma sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naft Maysan's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Duhok 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Al-Karma's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Naft 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Karma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Naft Maysan and 1.6 for Al-Karma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 42%.
Our pre-match pick was Al-Karma to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Naft Maysan 0–1 Al-Karma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft Maysan16%fair 6.08 · @6.50
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
Al-Karma61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
2.34Expected goals
0.70Naft Maysan xG
1.64Al-Karma xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Naft Maysan 0.7 – 1.6 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Double chance
Al-Karma or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.33
–
Form
Naft Maysan – last 6
LLDLWL
5 May
@ Duhok
1–2
L
1 May
@ Zakho
1–3
L
13 Apr
vs Mosul
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Diyala
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Newroz
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al-Karma – last 6
DDDDWL
5 May
@ Naft
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Al-Qasim
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Al Karkh
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Al Shorta
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Duhok
3–0
W
30 Mar
@ Baghdad
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft Maysan and Al-Karma.
What is the prediction for Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Naft Maysan have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Karma 61%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Naft Maysan 0–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
