Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Cali or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cali to win ✓50% · @1.88
Double chanceDeportivo Cali or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Colombia sees Deportivo Cali take on Alianza Valledupar on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 01:40 (WAT) at Estadio Deportivo Cali. Deportivo Cali are 1st with 12 points from 4 games, while Alianza Valledupar sit 2nd on 7 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Cali's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Bucaramanga 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Popayan 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo Cali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Deportivo Cali and 1.1 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Deportivo Cali or draw (78%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Cali or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo Cali 1–1 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cali50%fair 2.00 · @1.88
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.15
Alianza Valledupar22%fair 4.57 · @4.20
2.61Expected goals
1.47Deportivo Cali xG
1.13Alianza Valledupar xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cali 1.5 – 1.1 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Deportivo Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Attack vs Copa Colombia average
-9%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.12
Our own ratings from every Copa Colombia result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cali to win✓
50%
2.00
1.88
Double chance
Deportivo Cali or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cali / FT Deportivo Cali✓
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Form
Deportivo Cali – last 6
WWLWWD
12 May
vs Bucaramanga
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Chico
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Junior
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Santa Fe
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
DDLWDL
8 May
@ Popayan
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Llaneros
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Internacional de Bogota
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Deportivo Pereira
3–2
W
1 Apr
vs Deportivo Pasto
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Deportivo Cali or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Deportivo Cali have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Alianza Valledupar 22%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cali 1–1 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:40 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Deportivo Cali.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Águilas Doradas2
Deportivo Pereira1