Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.60 – our chance 51% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBucaramanga to win ✗71% · @1.24
Double chanceBucaramanga or draw ✗90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Bucaramanga vs Popayan preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Colombia sees Bucaramanga take on Popayan on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Bucaramanga are 4th with 3 points from 4 games, while Popayan sit 3rd on 7 points.
Form guide
Bucaramanga's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Cali 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Popayan's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Real Santander 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Bucaramanga and 0.8 for Popayan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.60 – 51% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Bucaramanga 2–0 Popayan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bucaramanga71%fair 1.41 · @1.24
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.75
Popayan10%fair 10.50 · @14.00
3.07Expected goals
2.23Bucaramanga xG
0.84Popayan xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bucaramanga 2.2 – 0.8 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Bucaramanga
Popayan
Attack vs Copa Colombia average
+11%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-6%
Our expected goals here
2.12
0.90
Our own ratings from every Copa Colombia result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bucaramanga to win✗
71%
1.41
1.24
Double chance
Bucaramanga or draw✗
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.60 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.30
Half-time result
Bucaramanga ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Form
Bucaramanga – last 6
LWLWLL
12 May
@ Deportivo Cali
0–2
L
8 May
vs Real Santander
5–0
W
21 Apr
@ Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Chico
5–0
W
7 Apr
@ Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ America de Cali
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Popayan – last 6
WDLDDD
12 May
@ Real Santander
3–0
W
8 May
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
18 Apr
@ Internacional Palmira
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Ind. Yumbo
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Depor FC
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bucaramanga and Popayan.
What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
On our numbers Bucaramanga have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Popayan 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
Our predicted score is Bucaramanga 2–0 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
Bucaramanga vs Popayan (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Águilas Doradas2
Deportivo Pereira1