Value bet: Once Caldas to win @ 3.55 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJunior to win ✗47% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Junior vs Once Caldas preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Junior take on Once Caldas on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 02:15 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez. Junior are 14th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Once Caldas sit 8th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Junior's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Once Caldas 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Once Caldas's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Junior 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Once Caldas 0–1 Junior.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Junior and 1.2 for Once Caldas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Junior 47%, draw 21%, Once Caldas 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Once Caldas to win at 3.55 – 32% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Junior 1–1 Once Caldas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Junior47%fair 2.15 · @2.04
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Once Caldas32%fair 3.09 · @3.55
2.68Expected goals
1.49Junior xG
1.19Once Caldas xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Junior 1.5 – 1.2 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Junior vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Junior have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Once Caldas 32%.
How many goals will there be in Junior vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Junior vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Junior 1–1 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Junior vs Once Caldas?
Junior vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
