Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Santa Fe to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✗46% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.12
America de Cali vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees America de Cali take on Santa Fe on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 02:20 (WAT) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero. America de Cali are 2nd with 36 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Santa Fe sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half).
Form guide
America de Cali's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Alianza Atletico 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Santa Fe's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Corinthians 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
America de Cali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished America de Cali 1–0 Santa Fe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for America de Cali and 1.1 for Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: America de Cali 46%, draw 22%, Santa Fe 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Santa Fe to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: America de Cali 1–1 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America de Cali46%fair 2.19 · @2.06
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Santa Fe33%fair 3.07 · @3.45
2.37Expected goals
1.32America de Cali xG
1.05Santa Fe xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.3 – 1.1 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santa Fe 33%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
America de Cali vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
