Ligorna host Chisola in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Ligorna are 5th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Chisola sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ligorna's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat NovaRomentin 9–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Chisola's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Valenzana 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ligorna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Ligorna and 0.7 for Chisola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ligorna 63%, draw 21%, Chisola 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ligorna 1–0 Chisola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ligorna63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
Chisola16%fair 6.43 · @4.60
2.55Expected goals
1.80Ligorna xG
0.75Chisola xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.8 – 0.7 Chisola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
63%
1.59
1.65
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.12
–
Form
Ligorna – last 6
WDWDLW
3 May
vs NovaRomentin
9–1
W
26 Apr
@ Asti
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Biellese
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Cairese
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Valenzana
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Lavagnese
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chisola – last 6
WLLLDD
3 May
@ Valenzana
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Gozzano
2–3
L
2 Apr
@ Vado
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Sestri Levante
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Saluzzo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Imperia
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Chisola.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ligorna vs Chisola?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chisola 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Chisola?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Chisola?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Chisola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Chisola?
Ligorna vs Chisola (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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