Sarnese host Pompei in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Sarnese's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Virtus Francavilla 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Pompei's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Fidelis Andria 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Pompei arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Sarnese and 0.7 for Pompei. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarnese 63%, draw 22%, Pompei 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sarnese 1–0 Pompei. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarnese63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.65
Pompei15%fair 6.53 · @4.75
2.49Expected goals
1.77Sarnese xG
0.72Pompei xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sarnese 1.8 – 0.7 Pompei expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarnese to win✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Double chance
Sarnese or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Sarnese ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarnese / FT Sarnese✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Sarnese – last 6
DDLWDW
3 May
@ Virtus Francavilla
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Francavilla
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Fidelis Andria
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Real Acerrana
5–2
W
22 Mar
@ Heraclea
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Gravina
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pompei – last 6
WWWLDW
3 May
@ Fidelis Andria
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Virtus Francavilla
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ Real Acerrana
3–1
W
2 Apr
@ Nardò
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Città di Fasano
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Nola 1925
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarnese and Pompei.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sarnese vs Pompei?
On our numbers Sarnese have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pompei 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sarnese vs Pompei?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarnese vs Pompei?
Our predicted score is Sarnese 1–0 Pompei, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarnese vs Pompei?
Sarnese vs Pompei (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nola 19250
Heraclea0