The 1. Division sees Pafos take on Apoel Nicosia on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stelios Kyriakidis. Pafos are 6th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Apoel Nicosia sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pafos's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Omonia Nicosia 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Apoel Nicosia's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Aris 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Pafos and 1.0 for Apoel Nicosia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pafos 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pafos58%fair 1.73 · @1.77
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.55
Apoel Nicosia22%fair 4.47 · @3.95
2.85Expected goals
1.83Pafos xG
1.02Apoel Nicosia xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Pafos 1.8 – 1.0 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Pafos ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.44
–
Form
Pafos – last 6
LWDWDD
6 May
vs Omonia Nicosia
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs AEL
3–1
W
14 Apr
@ Aris
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ AEL
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Aris
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Apoel Nicosia – last 6
LDLLWW
6 May
@ Aris
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
22 Apr
@ Apollon Limassol
2–4
L
14 Apr
vs Apollon Limassol
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Aris
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Aris
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pafos and Apoel Nicosia.
What is the prediction for Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
On our numbers Pafos have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Apoel Nicosia 22%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Pafos 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakidis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
