Real Espana host CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional on Tuesday 19 May, with kick-off at 03:15 (WAT). Real Espana are 2nd with 29 points from 14 games (in the top four), while CD Marathon sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Espana's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 2–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
CD Marathon's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat CD Olimpia 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Real Espana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Real Espana 2–0 CD Marathon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Real Espana and 1.1 for CD Marathon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Espana 49%, draw 22%, CD Marathon 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Real Espana 1–1 CD Marathon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Espana49%fair 2.04 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
CD Marathon29%fair 3.41 · @3.20
2.59Expected goals
1.51Real Espana xG
1.08CD Marathon xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Real Espana 1.5 – 1.1 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Real Espana have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Marathon 29%.
How many goals will there be in Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Real Espana 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Espana vs CD Marathon?
Real Espana vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 03:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
