Génesis travel to Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles in the Liga Nacional on Tuesday 19 May (01:00 WAT) to face CD Motagua. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Génesis sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Olancho 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Génesis's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Olancho 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Génesis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished Génesis 1–1 CD Motagua. Across their last 2 meetings CD Motagua have won 1, Génesis 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for CD Motagua and 0.8 for Génesis. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 69%, draw 18%, Génesis 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Motagua to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: CD Motagua 2–0 Génesis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua69%fair 1.44 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.40
Génesis13%fair 7.83 · @6.50
2.98Expected goals
2.18CD Motagua xG
0.80Génesis xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.2 – 0.8 Génesis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Génesis?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Génesis 13%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Génesis?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Génesis?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–0 Génesis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Génesis?
CD Motagua vs Génesis (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
