Value bet: Puerto Cabello to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chancePuerto Cabello or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.98
Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Puerto Cabello take on Portuguesa FC on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista. Puerto Cabello are 3rd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Portuguesa FC sit 4th on 3 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Puerto Cabello's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to UCV 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Portuguesa FC's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portuguesa FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Puerto Cabello and 0.7 for Portuguesa FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puerto Cabello 63%, draw 23%, Portuguesa FC 14%.
Safer route: Puerto Cabello or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Puerto Cabello to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Puerto Cabello 1–0 Portuguesa FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puerto Cabello63%fair 1.59 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.20
Portuguesa FC14%fair 7.23 · @4.20
2.41Expected goals
1.74Puerto Cabello xG
0.67Portuguesa FC xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Puerto Cabello 1.7 – 0.7 Portuguesa FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Cabello to win✓
63%
1.59
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Puerto Cabello or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Puerto Cabello ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Cabello / FT Puerto Cabello✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.98
–
Form
Puerto Cabello – last 6
LWDLWL
10 May
@ UCV
1–3
L
6 May
vs Cienciano
3–0
W
3 May
vs Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Juventud
0–4
L
21 Apr
vs Trujillanos FC
3–1
W
17 Apr
@ Cienciano
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portuguesa FC – last 6
DDWDWD
21 Apr
@ Deportivo La Guaira
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Rayo Zuliano
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Zamora FC
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs Caracas FC
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Monagas SC
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Trujillanos FC
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Cabello and Portuguesa FC.
What is the prediction for Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?
On our numbers Puerto Cabello have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portuguesa FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?
Our predicted score is Puerto Cabello 1–0 Portuguesa FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC?
Puerto Cabello vs Portuguesa FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
