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Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado

Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCarabobo FC to win ✓65% · @1.45
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC preview and prediction

The match

Estudiantes de Merida FC travel to Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado in the Primera División on Thursday 14 May (00:00 WAT) to face Carabobo FC. Carabobo FC are 1st with 11 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Carabobo FC's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Tachira FC 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Metropolitanos FC 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Estudiantes de Merida FC 3–2 Carabobo FC.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Carabobo FC and 0.8 for Estudiantes de Merida FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Carabobo FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Carabobo FC65%fair 1.55 · @1.45
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.85
Estudiantes de Merida FC13%fair 7.81 · @6.40
2.79Expected goals
2.00Carabobo FC xG
0.79Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Carabobo FC 2.0 – 0.8 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarabobo FC to win ✓65%1.551.45
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✓87%1.151.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.35
Half-time resultCarabobo FC ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC ✗42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Form

Carabobo FC – last 6

LLWWLW
10 May@ Deportivo Tachira FC1–3L
8 Mayvs River Plate1–2L
30 Aprvs Blooming2–0W
20 Aprvs Academia Anzoátegui6–3W
16 Apr@ River Plate0–1L
10 Aprvs RB Bragantino1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6

LWLWWL
9 May@ Metropolitanos FC0–2L
18 Marvs Carabobo FC3–2W
6 Marvs Deportivo La Guaira0–1L
28 Feb@ Puerto Cabello2–1W
23 Feb@ Academia Anzoátegui3–0W
13 Febvs Rayo Zuliano1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Estudiantes de Merida FC v Carabobo FC3–2
Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

On our numbers Carabobo FC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

Our predicted score is Carabobo FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.