Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.51
Naft vs Al-Karma preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Naft take on Al-Karma on Tuesday 5 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Naft are 3rd with 25 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Al-Karma sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Naft's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Mosul 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Karma's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Al-Qasim 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Naft and 0.9 for Al-Karma. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naft 31%, draw 28%, Al-Karma 41%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Naft 0–0 Al-Karma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft31%fair 3.19 · @3.20
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
Al-Karma41%fair 2.47 · @2.15
1.79Expected goals
0.87Naft xG
0.92Al-Karma xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Naft 0.9 – 0.9 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✗
41%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.51
–
Form
Naft – last 6
DLWDDW
22 Apr
@ Mosul
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Erbil
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs Gharraf
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–0
D
30 Mar
@ Al Talaba
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Al-Qasim
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al-Karma – last 6
DDDWLD
26 Apr
@ Al-Qasim
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Al Karkh
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Al Shorta
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Duhok
3–0
W
30 Mar
@ Baghdad
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Mosul
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft and Al-Karma.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Naft vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Naft have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Al-Karma 41%.
How many goals will there be in Naft vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Naft 0–0 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Naft vs Al-Karma?
Naft vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
