Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Duhok to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDuhok to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceDuhok or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.92
Duhok vs Naft Maysan preview and prediction
The match
Duhok host Naft Maysan in the Iraqi League on Tuesday 5 May, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Duhok Stadium. Duhok are 8th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Naft Maysan sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Duhok's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Al Zawra'a 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Naft Maysan's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Zakho 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Duhok and 0.9 for Naft Maysan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Duhok to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Duhok or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Duhok 1–0 Naft Maysan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Duhok58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.25
Naft Maysan18%fair 5.70 · @3.80
2.63Expected goals
1.75Duhok xG
0.88Naft Maysan xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Duhok 1.8 – 0.9 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Duhok to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Duhok or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Duhok ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Duhok / FT Duhok✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.92
–
Form
Duhok – last 6
DWDLLD
1 May
@ Al Zawra'a
2–2
D
27 Apr
@ Al Najaf
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs Gharraf
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Al-Karma
0–3
L
30 Mar
vs Zakho
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naft Maysan – last 6
LDLWLD
1 May
@ Zakho
1–3
L
13 Apr
vs Mosul
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Diyala
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Newroz
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Erbil
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Duhok and Naft Maysan.
Our pick is Duhok or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Duhok vs Naft Maysan?
On our numbers Duhok have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naft Maysan 18%.
How many goals will there be in Duhok vs Naft Maysan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Duhok vs Naft Maysan?
Our predicted score is Duhok 1–0 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Duhok vs Naft Maysan?
Duhok vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Duhok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
